German authorities warn of swine flu mutation risk

Germany’s federal agency for infectious diseases said on Tuesday there were signs the H1N1 swine flu virus had started to mutate and warned it could spread in the coming months in a more aggressive form…

WHO Director-General Dr. Margaret Chan said recently the virus is currently “pretty stable,” but warned it could still change into a more deadly form, perhaps mixing with the H5N1 bird flu virus circulating widely in poultry.”

Oh, man.  If swine flu and bird flu mix into a virus easily spread among people, that would really, really suck.  But, I think a lot people are just saying things to be alarmists.  I’m not ashamed to admit I am one of them.

Current stats: 5,5867 confirmed cases world-wide, and 238 deaths.

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Swine-Bird-Zombie Mix!

What happens if the current strain of swine flu (H1N1) bumps into its friend, the bird flu (H5N1) and they mingle together to create a new virus?

“The current swine flu strain…has sickened more than 2,300 people in 24 countries. While people can catch bird flu from birds, the bird flu…does not easily jump from person to person. It has killed at least 258 people worldwide since it began to ravage poultry stocks in Asia in late 2003.

The WHO reported two new human cases of bird flu on Wednesday. One patient is recovering in Egypt, while another died in Vietnam — a reminder that the H5N1 virus is far from gone.

Experts have long feared that bird flu could mutate into a form that spreads easily among people.

An infectious disease specialist said while flu experts are discussing the scenario, he has yet to see specific evidence causing him to think it will happen.

“Everything with influenza is a huge guessing game because Mother Nature holds all the rules, and we don’t even know what they are, so anything’s possible,” he said. “We don’t have any evidence that this particular reassortment is that much more likely to pick up H5N1 than any other reassortment out there.”

So.  To recap:  Nobody knows what’s going to happen.  There will another deadly pandemic at some point (everyone keeps saying “we are due for one”), because that’s just the way these things work.  But we don’t know where or when or how or what animal!  Also, I think there needs to be more research on potential reassortment of the swine, bird, and zombie flu.

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